1. Workforce availability
As the UK economy starts to shrug off the impact of the pandemic and gets back to a growth footing, tight labour markets are posing significant challenges for businesses.
- The UK has record numbers of unfilled job vacancies
- Retention is getting harder across the board
- More employers say they are experiencing worker shortages
- More older people are drifting away from the workforce, reducing the supply of skilled and experienced labour
- Post-Brexit immigration rules are likely to reduce the supply of low-skilled workers
“Businesses can no longer rely on an ever-expanding workforce to power growth in the UK,” said NatWest economist, Philip Bartlett.
“I use the US in the 1960s as an example of how the Brexit rule changes could impact agri-tech,” said Philip. “When the US ended an arrangement with Mexico that allowed large numbers of Mexican farmworkers to come to the country every year, the availability of cheap farm labour dropped overnight.
“The take-up of mechanisation options accelerated. More labour-saving technologies were deployed, more tasks automated.”
2. Cost pressures
- Labour shortages could lead to higher wage bills
- The price of all materials, including fertiliser and other agricultural inputs, has spiralled
- High costs will squeeze margins
- Inflation forecasts have been repeatedly revised up
3. Climate change
Climate change poses the greatest challenge to the agricultural sector, which has a huge role to play in terms of reducing emissions as we transition to binding net zero targets by 2050.
There is a growing recognition that economic growth is on an unsustainable path, we cannot keep depleting the stock of natural capital in the way that we’re doing.
- The agriculture sector in the UK accounts for about 10% of greenhouse gas emissions
- Emissions need to fall rapidly from current levels by 2040
- Average temperatures are likely to continue rising, bringing greater exposure to the physical risks associated with climate change
- To mitigate, adapt and build resilience, there is a clear need for new technologies